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Claimant count vs parliamentary majorities

Over a year ago we published an article Could claimants choose the next government? looking at the fact that working age claimants hold the balance of power in enough marginal seats to potentially decide who governs Britain at the next election, and yet they are treated by politicians with such contempt that you might imagine they had no vote at all.

The contempt has not lessened, but with an election just 100 days away the chance for claimants to exercise their influence is drawing near.

Below are series of bar charts, looking at a largely random selection of marginal seats - though most are currently held by the Conservatives and Lib Dems. We have compared the majorities at the next election with the working age claimant count in the constituency.

In some seats, such as East Dunbartonshire, claimants would be hard pressed to single-handedly wrest control from the current MP.

But in many others, such as Cardiff North, claimants have overwhelmingly superior strength of numbers.

The big question now is not whether claimants can make a difference to who wins the general election, but whether they will choose to.

Please feel free to share and publish these images elsewhere.

Amber Valley500

Arfon

Birmingham Yardley

 Bradford East2500

Brent Central2500

Brighton Pavillion2500

Brighton500

Broxtowe500

Cardiff North500

Carlisle500

Carmarthen

East Dunbartonshire

Edinburgh west

Hendon500

Lancaster Fleetwood500

Lincoln500

Morecambe Lune500

North warwickshire500

Norwich2500

Plymouth500

Sherwood500

Stockton South500

Stroud500

Thurrock500

Waever Vale500

Waveney500

Wolverhampton SW500

 

Comments  

+1 #6 craftcrazy 2015-02-16 11:05
If we want any improvement at all from the next government , we HAVE to vote Labour!
Otherwise the Bullingdon Boy toff tories are back with more confidence, more cruelty and more attacks on the easiest target of all -each and every one of US!
Its not the time to be "brave"! Maybe that time will come in the future when we've recovered from the onslaught of attacks that've been targeted at us!
We cannot afford to take chances now, even though we like the ideas of other less popular parties.
Don't waste your vote-USE IT WISELY!
#5 pat newman 2015-02-06 16:45
Until every one who is unemployed, sick, disabled and of pensionable age have the GUTS to vote say for one of the minority small parties instead of the big 3 then we will all have wasted our votes, I myself wish to vote for ukip but my vote will end up certainly going to the tory/lab/lib parties where I don't want it to go, so what choice do I have, I certainly don't want ID'S back in charge of welfare etc, or Osbourne as chancellor in fact I don't want Cameron either they all make me want to throw-up (should be called the party of death).
+1 #4 Bill 2015-02-02 07:56
Quoting Paul Richards



Quote:
I don't mean to be political, BUT, all things being considered - the unemployed, the sick & disabled of Britain have been pilloried by the most vicious, uncaring & unsympathetic Government that I've ever known. In the upcoming G.E. it is going to be essential to get this Government out of office, once & for all. Voting 'minority' risks keeping them in power! And you WILL regret that!
Amen to that!
+2 #3 Paul Richards 2015-02-01 21:58
Hi Matata2011,
The idea that you have is very good.
However, in the First Past The Post voting system that we have in Britain, this would not really be feasible.
Firstly at the best that we could hope for - a new 'Disability Party UK' would be, at the very least unfortunately, a 'minority' party.
This would be a party which, in all reality, and with the very best will in the world, would only attain a 'few' seats at most in any General Election. In this present '3 party system' - most of the electorate, would at best, vote for 'one' of these three and perhaps a few for UKIP and the Greens also. Any other joining or 'at present' parties would, in the present situation, be at the very minimum at most.
I am not being pessimistic - I am being realistic! As regards to the present system. (My wife says that I should in no way discriminate between the various 'classes' as she does not like the idea of the existence of any classes!!) However, regardless - one has to do this as these various forms of 'classes' do actually exist throughout these British Isles!
The 'electorate' is divided into various groups - the young, the middle aged, the old (the pensioners) and the very old!
The very poor, the poor, the working poor, the working middle classes, the upper working middle classes, the middle classes, the upper middle classes, the upper classes, the rich & the very rich.
Plus a few other ones in between these various groups!
All of these 'classes' with their own 'various incomes', have their own ideas & their own voting preferences as such.
I don't mean to be political, BUT, all things being considered - the unemployed, the sick & disabled of Britain have been pilloried by the most vicious, uncaring & unsympathetic Government that I've ever known. In the upcoming G.E. it is going to be essential to get this Government out of office, once & for all. Voting 'minority' risks keeping them in power! And you WILL regret that!
#2 Matata2011 2015-01-28 21:02
We have a choice, there are other parties out there you know,or we can start ours The Disabilty Party UK,why have we been always just fixated on cons & labour,it's not set in stone, better to start on a clean slate, the Greeks braved it, good on them they are now fully being listened to.Yes 5 more years of uncertainty is scary,
+5 #1 Bill 2015-01-28 07:11
As quoted above:

''The big question now is not whether claimants can make a difference to who wins the general election, but whether they will choose to''.

Surely we, the sick and disabled, do not have a choice do we?

Its understandable that people baulk at the thought of voting for a Party that has let us all down in the past, and not done enough to fight for us during this parliament, and being responsible for starting the testing off in the first place.

BUT, if we dont vote for the one Party that will certainly keep the Tories out i.e. Labour, our votes will be spread around to various Partys' who's policies we do agree with, and that will let the Tories in again by accident.

We, my wife and myself, are very worried that this will happen especially with all this alleged ''good news'' on our economy. The general public (who do not rely on Welfare as we all do), will probably be blinded by that ''information'' and vote for the Tories to have a second term.

God help us and the NHS if we do not vote accordingly to stop this happening.

Five more years of utter misery and Welfare cuts are certain with the Tories, thats what we all know, anything else.... who knows but it cant be as bad as Iain Duncan Smith and Co..... can it?

Mr and Mrs Bill

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