The proportion of personal independence payment (PIP) awards that are increased as the result of a planned review has plummeted threefold in the space of two years, with a particularly steep drop in the most recent quarter.  There is no obvious explanation for this fall and it is hidden in official DWP statistics, which only give a five year rolling average.

Fewer than one in fifteen planned review claimants saw an increase in their award in the latest quarter for which figures are available – November 2025 to January 2026 - falling from around one in ten for the same period last year and around one in five for the same period two years ago.

In the last five years, the percentage of awards that have been increased as a result of a planned review has never fallen below 10%, except for two months: July 2025 when it fell to 8.33% and November 2024 when the figure was 9.9%.

Yet in the most recent quarter for which statistics have been provided, all three months saw increases for fewer than 10% of planned award reviews:

Nov  7.93%

Dec  5.41%

Jan  5.99%

This gives an average over the quarter of 6.44% of claimants getting an increase.

The same quarter last year (Nov 24 to Jan 25), saw 10.16% of claimants get an increase in their awards.

For the year before (Nov 23 to Jan 24), the figure was 20.9%.

Overall, changes to the results of planned award reviews have been very marked over the last two years, with a strong increase in the percentage of awards that stay the same and a much smaller percentage of winners and losers.

In the latest quarter, 3.34% of claimants got a lower award, 3.56% last year and 8.6% the year before that.

And in the latest quarter 78.2% of claimants got the same award following a planned review, 76.3% a year before and 53.2% two years before.

Yet none of this is apparent from the official quarterly PIP statistics.  Because the DWP only give a five year rolling average, their latest statistics for planned award reviews show (our figures are in brackets):

Award increased  15% (latest quarter actually 6.4%)

Award maintained 63% (latest quarter actually 78.2%)

 Award decreased  6%  (latest quarter actually 3.34%)

On the positive side, this means planned award reviews are becoming less risky for claimants.  If the current rates continue, almost eight out of ten will see their award unchanged and only one in thirty will get a lower award.

But many claimants have conditions that deteriorate over time.  And many of those claimants would rather wait for a planned award review than risk upsetting things by requesting a change of circumstances review, even when they believe they should now be entitled to a higher rate of PIP.

There has been no change in the law that would account for the fall in increased awards.  Nor has there been any change in publicly available guidance for assessors or decision makers that would account for it. But, unquestionably, something has changed to account for such a significant and continued fall.

All statistics were obtained from the DWPs Stat-Xplore tool

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  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 18 days ago
    @John Oh what? Do me a favour. As if anyone is going to be able to set in motion anything like that in four years' time.

    "a personalised state-pension payment calculated on an actuarially fair basis, using information about their age and health circumstances"

    Well that's a lifetime's debate right there.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 17 days ago
      @John @John Exactly, and using a private pension pot to buy a private pension for life works for those who can afford to pay into a private pension, who are also more likely to have a full state pension record. The more you have the more you get.

      The system applied to the general population would be unfair and unworkable. There would be so many disputes and appeals.

      You're right to point out how disproportionately women would be affected - longer life, fewer working years. Low paid and manual workers would also suffer, as their bodies wear out and their pension contributions are inadequate. It's always those who give the most who get the least back. Nurses, miners, carers, the guys who turn out to restore power in storms and floods, those who raise children.

      Item 3 on your list is the real kicker, with the state pension and pension credit having been a final oasis for those who have struggled for years. I agree with rookie - it would amount to no welfare, paying back what you'd taken out earlier in times of hardship, and no relief, even at the end.

      People are already dying before they can access their pensions - waspi women being just one example.

      There's bound to be a move to push the nhs the same way, all about how much extra you can pay as an individual.

      Tony Blair was never labour. Always I'm alright Jack.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 17 days ago
      @godgivemestrength That is how using a private pension pot to buy a private pension for life already works.

      The problems I see with the Tony Blair Institute lifespan fund proposal are:

      1: Increasing the current 35 years contributions for a full pension to 40 years.

      2: Abandoning the triple lock and instead linking to UK median wage increases. So people get lower state pensions in the future.

      3: Abolishing the pension credit and instead making the poorest wait up to 10 years longer to get their state pension.

      4: Getting rid of a fixed state pension age and instead having it based on how many years you have contributed, your life expectancy, and how big a private pension pot you have. So the wealthy can get their state pension at say 58 and the poorest who rely on the new safety net at say 78.

      5: As when you can get the state pension is dependent in part on life expectancy, women on average would have to wait longer than men to get their state pension. And as contributions to the lifespan fund are capped at 40 years they get no extra money if they work more years then men.

      6: Decreasing years of contributions for periods where people access the fund early due to unemployment up to 6 months at a time or caring up to 3 years at a time or education or starting up a business. And then having them pay higher NI contributions for the following 10 years unless they have a large private pension (are wealthy). Which would disproportionately affect women as they are more likely to take time off to care for young children or elderly relatives. 
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 19 days ago
    Another day another policy proposal from the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change. This one on replacing state pension with a lifespan fund. With pension age based on remaining life expectancy. And accessible during people's working life when they are for example caring for a sick or disabled relative. But looking at the details it does not look good to me.

    "We propose replacing the state pension with a new model from 2030: the Lifespan Fund – a flexible lifetime income-support account that individuals build up through active contribution to society."

    "those aged below 57 in 2030 (more than ten years from SPA at implementation). All individuals more than ten years from their SPA when the reform was introduced would have their accrued state-pension entitlements converted into Lifespan balances."

    "Entitlements would be earned through work (via existing National Insurance contributions (NICs)); seeking work, caring for others or being unable to work due to ill health (via existing National Insurance credits); and through a new entitlement for time spent in full-time higher education.
    people would have the equivalent of half a year’s state pension added to their Lifespan Fund for each year of economic activity"

    "After 40 years of contributions, they would have built up a maximum entitlement worth around £250,000 in today’s prices, equivalent to 20 years of support at the current state pension level of around £12,500 per year."

    "Pension Credit would be phased out and replaced with a means-tested Lifespan top-up. This top-up would apply once individuals reach the equivalent of the SPA and would bring Lifespan balances up to the ten-year floor, means-tested against private-pension wealth and other savings."

    "The value of each person’s Lifespan Fund would rise based on a smoothed link with median earnings"

    (no more triple lock, so future state pension would be far less generous than if triple lock was maintained)

    "Conversion (to a life time pension) would take place on an actuarially fair basis, meaning that the expected lifetime value of pension payments would equal the balance of the Lifespan Fund at the point of retirement. This calculation would take into account both age and health status, just as private-pension annuities do at the moment."

    "In practice, individuals could choose when to retire and would receive a personalised state-pension payment calculated on an actuarially fair basis, using information about their age and health circumstances."

    "Those choosing to retire early or with smaller funds would need to demonstrate sufficient private-pension savings to ensure an income equivalent to today’s state pension (around £12,500) to minimise the risk of poverty; otherwise, they would be required to delay retirement."

    (wealthier people could retire early, those without private pensions would be able to retire when they have a remaining life expectancy of 20 years, or if they have less than 40 years contributions, a remaining life expectancy as low as 10 years the safety net)

    Access to the lifespan fund during working life

    "Access during working life would also be restricted to those resident in the UK and with indefinite leave to remain"

    "Withdrawals would be permitted only once a minimum balance had been accumulated and could not reduce the fund below that threshold. For those aged 35 and under, the minimum balance would be equivalent to five years of entitlement, to prevent early withdrawals being used to fund extended periods of youth unemployment, which can be particularly damaging early in working life. This minimum balance would then rise by one-quarter of a year’s entitlement for every year above age 35 to ten years of entitlement for those aged 55 and over"

    "It would be possible for an individual to draw down an amount equivalent to the value of the state pension – around £12,500 a year in today’s terms"

    "during unemployment spell of up to six months, conditional on participating in activation measures, just as is required of Jobseeker’s Allowance claimants
    during the first six months of setting up a new business
    while taking part in approved training or adult education
    while looking after one or more children aged under 3
    while caring for a sick or disabled relative for up to three consecutive years"

    "individuals would not need to withdraw the full state-pension-equivalent amount each year. They could choose to draw smaller sums – such as half the annual amount – for longer"

    "anyone who accessed their Lifespan Fund during working life would be automatically enrolled into higher NICs for the following ten years to rebuild their balance. This would be collected either through the PAYE system by altering an individual’s tax code or through the self-assessment tax system. Contributions would be capped at 5 per cent of earnings, with the option to repay more quickly or slowly, or to opt out and accept a smaller pension later. To opt out of repayments, individuals would need to show that they had saved enough in a private pension to offset the funds they had withdrawn from their Lifespan Fund, plus an additional 25 per cent to cover the risk that the private-pension fund did not generate as much income as the Lifespan Fund or subsequently fell in value."

    https://institute.global/insights/economic-prosperity/the-lifespan-fund-reforming-the-state-pension-for-a-more-affordable-flexible-and-fair-future#executive-summary
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 17 days ago
      @John In other words, no welfare.

      When Blair was elected in 1997 I said he was worse than Thatcher. I don't think there's any party (and who knows who it will be in 2030?) who can pull off those changes, mind you, and I can't imagine dwp being able to administer them.

      These sorts of proposals are all well and good for the working well, but it wont be possible to impose all those contribution-dependent and time-related conditions on the sick and disabled. Not everyone will be in a position to choose when they retire, but (surprise!) "wealthier people could retire early" and those without means would have to work until they drop.

      !
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 18 days ago
      @John John Sir People like   You Sir  should be helping in  running the country as you are obviously very intelligent, analytical and have an understanding of the challenges that disabled people face. Why should we pay the price for political choices. Tax the banks, the extreme Wealth. There is so much social inequality that impacts disabled people it frustrates me. Sir.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 19 days ago
    The DWP are simple waving through most PIP reassessments without any checks. They are concentrating their man power on new claims as they have reached over 700,000 as of Jan 26 - a 4 year high.

    In fairness, its not a bad time to have a reassessment, due to less checks.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 11 days ago
      @Michael I really hope this is true. My current award runs out in 12 months, so the brown envelope will drop soon… 
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 20 days ago
    Why no article on the disgusting words coming from the Tony Blair Institute and what could really  be being them?
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 18 days ago
      @Clay I understand your sentiment Affluent politicians with no idea of the harsh realities and challenges that all  disabled people face. Lobby the disability rights organisations and your local M.P. Take Care.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 20 days ago
    The review stats might include the mass reviews done by the DWP to correct errors in how PIP was assessed. After the DWP has lost legal cases. That resulted in large numbers of claimants getting their awards increased. That would explain the higher award increased figures from previous years. 
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 11 days ago
      @John I got loads of MH points at my last review which I hadn’t received before. That was during Covid though..
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 20 days ago
    Many of us would rather wait till our review than a change of circumstances sure. 
    But with the timms review due in the autumn and the gov probably using secondary legislation to rush things through with little scrutiny (plus we’d streeting commissioned study and the recent Tony Blair institute study heavily hinting that the gov may try and exclude mental health/neurodivergent conditions from qualifying for pip) and rumours that backbenchers standing against cuts last summer have now shifted opinion to align with the gov warped view many of us may not have that luxury.
    Triggering a change of circumstance to hasten a pip assessment rather than wait for a review is an unnecessary risk but being a guinea pig for the likely cut criteria incoming from the timms review recommendation is beyond catastrophic for many existing pip claimants.

    Providing the dwp don’t change the rules halfway through the review/reassessment process it wouldn’t surprise me if a number of claimants with 18months or less trigger an early reassessment of pip over the summer (with 11 months left on my current pip award that’s what I’m considering doing - my reviews have up till now started 13 months before end date so this wait is making me very nervous)
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 11 days ago
      @axab43 I have Complex-PTSD, and have had for 30 years. 
      I only got MH points at my last assessment. I have a multitude of physical issues that awarded me enough points prior to this. 
      I doubt that anyone has ever received a PIP award for a ‘mild’ MH issue. That’s just the press..
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 19 days ago
      @D I understood that recommendations have been made for people to  stop mild mental health illnesses from qualifying for PIP.  Not all.  Have to be careful using terminology as people with severe mental health illnesses can be triggered very easily.  

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