A group of academics from Northern universities and health services have calculated how much income each Westminster parliamentary constituency may lose as a result of personal independence payment (PIP) cuts.  Labour constituencies take 92 of the top 100 biggest losers places, with the North East and North West hardest hit, suggesting that PIP cuts are aimed squarely at Labour’s own voters.

The, report was funded and produced by Health Equity North and carried out by academics from the universities of Manchester, Newcastle and Sheffield, along with the Northern Health Service Alliance.

Researchers looked at how many PIP claimants in each constituency did not score four points or more for any daily living activity. They then calculated what the loss of PIP for those claimants would mean in total for each constituency as well as what the loss per head of working age population would be.

Researchers found that:

  • The ten worst-hit constituencies are all Labour-held, and in “Red Wall” areas
  • The impacts will disproportionately affect the constituencies which already have the lowest life expectancies in England.
  • They found that the average loss per working age adult in England is £176
  • The changes are set to have the greatest effect on regions such as the North East (£269 per working-age person on average), the North West (£231), Yorkshire and The Humber (£206), the West Midlands (£191) and the East Midlands (£185)
  • The worst-hit constituencies are in Easington (£409 per working-age person), Liverpool Walton (£403) and Knowsley (£389)
  • These three constituencies alone could lose an estimated total of £23.8m, £26.2m and £23.4m respectively per year by 2029/30
  • The smallest difference is in Bristol Central (£62 per working-age person), Oxford and West Abingdon (£66) and Wimbledon (£67)
  • The impact on these constituencies is £5m, 4.7m and £4.9m respectively per year by 2029/30
  • The most-deprived constituencies will lose nearly three times the amount of the least-deprived (£265 per working-age person on average compared to £96)

In fact, because these calculations did not take into account the possible loss of other linked benefits and the loss of additional elements in other benefits, the actual figures could be very considerably higher.

One of the report’s authors, Professor Clare Bambra, said:

“Those areas that will lose most from this proposal were already decimated by austerity, COVID and the cost of living crisis. They have worse health than other regions and their local services and economies are already struggling. Losses of this magnitude risk worsening the situation for everyone living in these deprived constituencies.

“Parliament cannot risk rushing proposals like these through without fully considering how they affect local areas that are already struggling. We hope that research such as ours gives MPs more context, so they can make the most informed, forward-thinking and economical decision.”

Readers with a Labour MP, in particular, might want to drop them an email drawing attention to this report.

You can read more and download a copy of Local Economic Impact of the Proposed Changes to Personal Independence Payments (PIP) by Parliamentary Constituency

 

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  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 8 hours ago
    I have contacted my local MP twice now and have received no response. Surprise!  But still I urge everyone to contact their MP. It may not make a difference but we have to keep trying. Sign as many petitions and share to get the message out. We have to keep on fighting. 
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 22 hours ago
    Wes Streeting to the BBC

    "All I’d say to people, we’ve got the message, we’re not daft, we haven’t got our heads in the sand, all I’d ask people for is to give us a bit of time and to give us the benefit of the doubt"

    At the end of this Mirror article


    Prove it, Wes, cut out the doubt and give us the benefit.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 14 hours ago
      @Sam @Sam, I love your posts, they make me laugh - in a good way. I tried to up vote this one, but wasn't allowed to - 'false' it said. There's no hiding from them, the tendrils....
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 15 hours ago
      @rtbcpart2 He said this morning: 

      "In government, we’re genuinely impatient for change. We are going hard at the challenges that the public has set for us. And we’re under no illusion – and I think the voters have sent us a fundamental message ‘we voted for change with Labour last year, if you don’t deliver change, if we’re not feeling it, we’ll vote for change elsewhere’."

      "So we’ve got that message loud and clear. We take the results on the chin."

      No, they haven't got the message yet, as they haven't understood that it's what they claim to be delivering that people hate.

      You must be daft to carry on doing something that's hated and ruled ineffective by the very same people whom you're doing it for.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 17 hours ago
      @rtbcpart2 Spoiler alert. They are in fact fact, heads are more up backsides than sand
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    · 1 days ago
    Talk in the Guardian of £300 Winter Fuel Payments being altered to include more people.  Not much about £8400 cuts to disability benefits, alas.


    Also:
    Scots Labour MP hits out at UK Government benefit cuts over Parkinson's support

    First minister to 'call out' UK Labour welfare cuts


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      · 8 hours ago
      @Anon
      "hardly any of us are feeling it while we're queuing up at food banks and not being able to turn the heating on in the dead of winter."

      But how can this be happening if spending on sickness and disability benefits is so high as to be unsustainable? I don't suppose that question has ever occurred to them. Sick and disabled people freezing during winter and relying on food banks is their idea of "fairness" apparently. These people are every bit as psychopathic as the Tories. 

      Still, now that they're starting to feel the heat after the local elections this is no time to drop the pressure. The more Labour MPs who think they may lose their seats if they don't vote against the cuts the better.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 10 hours ago
      @tintack Absolutely spot on. I thought how ridiculous and exaggerated the quote was went without saying because, yes, good question: where is all this money that is being spent on welfare actually going because - from what I can see - hardly any of us are feeling it while we're queuing up at food banks and not being able to turn the heating on in the dead of winter.
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      · 10 hours ago
      @Bert That's not what the OBR has been saying. I can't recall the exact timeframe in years but I think they said they'll be lucky to get something like £3 billion from these cuts.

      The figure you're quoting is what the Tories intended to save with their proposals before they were voted out.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 12 hours ago
      @Anon
      ""How can we spend money on the public’s priorities, like schools and hospitals, if all the money is going on welfare?"

      Leaving aside the obvious point that far from "all the money is going on welfare", every time this line is used, ministers should be asked, "so does the government believe that plunging sick and disabled people into poverty is the only way to fund increased spending on the NHS?" And if that is how they intend to fund it, it might also be worth asking them how much of the extra NHS spending will be taken up by the cost of the extra treatments that will be required by those whose health has been made worse by the benefit cuts.


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      · 13 hours ago
      @Sam They're trying to make a plan but it's turning out the cuts are turning it into a paper doily and they'll carry on cutting until they open it out and everyone sees their plan is full of holes, in fact barely a plan at all, or even a doily. I think I need a lie down.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 1 days ago
    From around the 21st minute of this programme, Robert Peston of ITV talks about the puzzle of why Labour is 'sucking up to Reform voters' rather than going more to the left.



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    · 1 days ago
    I think someone else may have already posted this, but I can't find it here, so posting again:

    A Labour MP has said the government "absolutely has to" change course following sweeping gains for Reform UK in England's local elections.

    Rachael Maskell, the MP for York Central, said policies introduced by the government which had not been in its manifesto had forced voters "to look elsewhere".




  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 1 days ago
    Excerpts from this Guardian article:

    'Ministers and Labour MPs are increasingly concerned that No 10 is not worried enough about the risk of losing voters on the left over issues from Gaza to welfare cuts.

    A new poll for the public affairs firm Apella Advisors, conducted by Find Out Now, found last week that the threat of drifting progressive voters was significant. Among Labour 2024 voters, 43% said they would be likely to consider voting Green and 40% Lib Dems. Just 9% said they could consider voting Reform.'

    '

    Louise Haigh: 

    Haigh said it was “obviously completely unacceptable” that child poverty is set to increase, according to the government’s own impact assessment. But she stopped short of saying whether she would vote against the contentious cuts to disability benefit payments.

    “I do worry about a repeat to strategy that [could] mean we keep on cutting money from the sort of ‘bottom of the pile’. So many people joined the Labour party and were inspired by the work of the last Labour government on child poverty.

    “The last thing any Labour government should do is create more poverty and push people actively into poverty.”



  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 2 days ago
    "I think trying to echo reform is a party disaster, because if you try and echo reform, you just make them legitimate and you actually make them stronger."

    "I think we have to deal with issues about welfare payments, about the winter fuel payment, which came up on every door. We need to scrap the cuts and benefits to the disabled. We need to address those things." Diane Abbott.
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      · 1 days ago
      @Scorpion Thanks for your post scorpion, it's encouraging to read the common sense talking of Diane Abbott. The top brass of labour may think she's a loose cannon but she's the only one who seems willing to speak up for us with conviction. 
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      · 1 days ago
      @Scorpion Said it before ' "On every door", that's what matters. We must hold firm and be the ones to survive when this government gets its come uppance over this green paper.

      "On every door", Starmer, what part of that message do you not understand? Who is it you think you are working for?

      As @Vic posted a couple of days ago:

      "Are they thick or just in denial hoping things calm down .
      Starmer you need to resign & take your horrible cronies with you .
      Betrayal after Betrayal .
      Oaps winter fuel ,Pip & inhumane decisions your making on the disabled & ill that will cause poverty & deaths .
      The economy you have destroyed .
      You need to change your name from Labour to the incompetent Party .
      Bunch of Amateurs !!!!"

      We get it, the rebel mps get it, the disability rights groups get it, the researchers get it, the media are getting it, and even the electorate who are not directly affected get it - ON EVERY DOOR.

      Ground Control to Starmer, wake up, man.
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    · 2 days ago
    Another semi-positive news article.  .I say "semi-positive" because it predicts a U-turn on Winter Fuel Allowance, but isn't so sure about the PIP cuts
    Labour MPs press Keir Starmer to rethink benefits cuts after local elections
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      · 1 days ago
      @SLB Seems our optimism is not widely shared, @SLB, but I thought it could be the start of something on which we can build. The Labour leadership might think that with such a huge majority they can treat a few fallen councillors as collateral damage, but that attitude will backfire with a growing number of constituency mps rebelling. Of course we need to keep up the pressure, which you are doing admirably.
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 2 days ago
    The FT reports that some labour mps are predicting a u-turn on the winter fuel allowance cut:

    https://www.google.co.uk/url?q=https://www.ft.com/content/8a045ba5-a3fd-42d5-80d7-d2f57347a86d&sa=U&ved=2ahUKEwjf_rfR5oqNAxULU0EAHe5cGWUQ0PADegQICRAD&usg=AOvVaw27XFtvaRNyh5gDhCtLge_e

    So, following the local.and mayoral elections, there must surely be a re-think on the wider and greater welfare cut proposals.



       


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      · 1 days ago
      @tintack That's my fear too.  
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 1 days ago
      @tintack
      My thought exactly 💯.  I fully expect they'll do the bare minimum changes to winter fuel to appease the public, pensioners, the right who are so against hitting the Pensioners and the MP's to get them to back down and vote everything else through.
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      · 1 days ago
      @sara
      "So, following the local.and mayoral elections, there must surely be a re-think on the wider and greater welfare cut proposals."

      My fear is they'll do something on the WFA but go ahead with the disability cuts. Partly because a U-turn or partial U-turn on the WFA would be cheaper than on the disability cuts and partly because they're terrified of the right wing press and Reform, who are vociferously opposed to the WFA cut but are all in favour of cuts to disability benefits. If the government backs down on WFA then the right will have what it wants and will be fully supportive of the disability cuts - in fact their only complaint is that those cuts don't go far enough.

      If they try to get away with only backing down on the WFA it will become even more important to keep up the pressure on Labour MPs. At least if they do change the WFA cut they would have to explain why they've decided that it's not OK to hit pensioners after all but clobbering the sick and disabled is still fine. It really needs to be made clear to them that such blatant double standards will cost them at the ballot box, just as it did last week.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 1 days ago
      @sara "Fools rush in where angels fear to tread". 
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    · 2 days ago
    dwp and Alison McGovern: it has “not been possible to estimate the impact of the [overall] package on the level of poverty amongst individuals living in families with a disabled person....However, given the balance of the package we would expect much of the increase in poverty to be focused amongst individuals in this family type.”

    You don't say.

    https://www.google.co.uk/url?q=https://www.disabilitynewsservice.com/ministers-are-clueless-on-impact-of-pip-cuts-on-disability-poverty-dwp-admits/&sa=U&ved=2ahUKEwjf_rfR5oqNAxULU0EAHe5cGWUQ0PADegQICRAT&usg=AOvVaw3Kf_nnnestj_1jpN4qt5kR
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 1 days ago
      @keepingitreal Yep, families with disabled members, and those disabled members, are going to be affected by disability benefit cuts. Thanks, Alison, for ministersplaining that. We get it, do you, though?
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 2 days ago
    Guess what - May 2025 election results were labour's worst local election result in recorded local election history in the UK!

    Good for Keir Starmer and his clowns.
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      · 2 days ago
      @Scorpion
      They clearly need to offer more of what they're already doing.

      Am I doing it right Keir?
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 2 days ago
    Starmer, Reeves and Kendall are NOT going to back down over the cuts. See for those three they don't care what happens to labour because Starmer could end up sitting in the house of lords, Keeves and Kendall will get damehoods also presumably thus being able to take up seats in the Lords.

    Labour MP's on the backbenches are going to lose their seats because of Starmer/Reeves. Is that what they want? To lose their seats, their ride on the gravy train because of two politicians who are out of their depth.

    If these cuts happen Labour are going to own these cuts in their constituencies directly affected, it doesn't matter if Reform or the Tories will vote with them or not, Labour are going to own these cuts and at the ballot box they're going to pay for it.

    Disability benefits is a boon to the economy because more money goes back into the economy. It won't just be disabled people who will struggle, the whole economy will, more job loses then take into AI's influence in the job market.


    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 2 days ago
      @Dave Dee Dave Dee nails it as always
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      · 2 days ago
      @Dave Dee We don't know what is going to happen at this point.  Starmer would likely have ended up in the Lords anyway, just by being the head of public prosecution, so it's not anything as simple as that.  What Starmer doesn't want is to be remembered as the PM who sent the Labour party's fortunes into a tailspin after a huge election win - and thus enabling Farage to become PM.  Yes, Boris Johnson did that too, but his majority was nowhere near the size of Starmer's, and if Johnson had been remotely professional he might well still be in power.   

      One thing I'm realising right now is that fighting for what we deserve is very very tiring, and what they may well be counting on is fatigue.  We're going to need a lot of tea, coffee, lucozade and Red Bull!
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    · 2 days ago
    They also didn't take into account those ppl that score the 12 points overs many descriptors but don't get the needed 4 points under labours new policy will also lose their carer if they have one like me as you need care element to get a carer, so even though I need help with everything and have adaptions but still need constant help even in the night I'm going to lose my carer if that happens ill have to go into a home costing the government more money!! Totally insane, if I lose my carer and freedom I will kill myself as Ill have no future and I'm so worried iv started having regular panic attacks making me more ill!! 
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      · 1 days ago
      @Pixelmum What I think is even worse is that people who previously scored 4 points on a descriptor among others had lately been given 0 points upon review as reported on Scope Forum on numerous occasions by claimants themselves! 
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      · 1 days ago
      @Joanne Very true Joanne! I score 16 points and get enhanced daily living but don't score 4 points in any given descriptor so I will lose that and my husband will lose the carers allowance he gets for me.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 2 days ago
      @Joanne Please try not to worry. You will be okay. Believe you will be okay
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    · 2 days ago
    Am I the only one coming across Labour stooges on social media during this last week or so - people who are purposefully spreading misinformation about PIP?
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 2 days ago
      @Dez
      " Like we should be licking the shoes of taxpayers for contributing to a system that they could end up also using at any given moment and that's why their taxes go towards it"

      I think we can safely say that it has never occurred to these knuckle-draggers that they are no more than a single life-changing illness or accident away from having to rely on the system themselves. 

      "The comparison between the responses to the WFA being cut and PIP being cut is truly like night and day."

      Isn't it just. Cutting pensioners' payments: "outrageous! You can't cut support to vulnerable people, think of the consequences! It's indefensible"

      Cutting disability benefits: "Oh, actually it's fine if you're clobbering THOSE vulnerable people. That's fine! Cut away - in fact, cut even more! Not a problem!"


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      · 2 days ago
      @Dez Because they’re believing the lies and propaganda )-:
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      · 2 days ago
      @WorkshyLayabout People intentionally entering a conversation to stir up trouble, make out the disabled are lying about the plans, giving misinformation about what points you get for each descriptor - one was posting today that not being able to cut up food, needing supervision for the loo, and not being able to wash below the waist all get 4 points or more.  
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      · 2 days ago
      @SLB I've certainly seen people leaving nasty comments on the testimonies of people who are barely scraping by as it is and are concerned about losing their PIP and calling disabled people "ungrateful" and "entitled". Like we should be licking the shoes of taxpayers for contributing to a system that they could end up also using at any given moment and that's why their taxes go towards it. Duh. 

      The comparison between the responses to the WFA being cut and PIP being cut is truly like night and day.
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      · 2 days ago
      @SLB No new low would surprise me from Labour . They must be conscience free. Hope Tuesday’s virtual meeting goes well btw- by that I mean I hope you can kick up a significantly smelly stink about these nasty plans
  • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
    · 2 days ago
    The local elections have served our cause well, because mps have come face to face with those who would not only suffer from the cuts, but who understand exactly how welfare works. It has been an education for government, for whom the tales of misery were not enough - they needed to be made to understand the consequences for the real, disadvantaged people and others who have voted against Labour. Starmer et al may be sticking to the script for now, but they'll be rattled by these results.

    We must keep up the pressure on our constituency mps, even on the sympathetic ones, who we need to put our case and persuade those who are not supporting us, so the senior cabinet is forced to reconsider.
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      · 2 days ago
      @sara Unfortunately the lesson will not hit home on Starmer until he loses in more by elections for MPs and the next local elections. It is only through losses will he and his cohorts wake up to the painful reality of betraying your own electoral in the hope of getting someone else's in this case reforms and conservatives. Taking his own supporters for granted is what has led him into his own mess and will keep doing so till he changes course. The first sign of this will be when he throws Reeves and Kendal and Timms under the bus but by then it will have been to late. 
      Support should not go towards reform unless it is tactical but also for the LibDems and the Greens with whom we have a better chance of changing course.
      However this is going to be a long haul of negative votes until those within labour pluck up the courage to get rid of this shyster.
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    · 2 days ago
    It looks like the labour party has scored a massive home goal with these results. So this is the thanks vulnerable people get for 'voting for a better Britain'. This research shows just how rushed these plans are, the government are totally out of touch with the needs of their voters, especially those who live in the north. 
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      · 2 days ago
      @Ann Rushed, exactly, @Ann. Act in haste, repent at leisure, and I do think the government will repent. They've already slid out of the mistake they made with pensioners by pretending it should have been obvious that cohort wasn't included in the proposed measures, when actually the ministers just hadn't thought through how illogical and unworkable it would be to tie the retired population into a what was presented as a work related initiative.

      Now they're getting a clearer picture of the multi layered consequences for all claimants and for labour votes, they're going to do some rowing back, dressed up, I believe, as demonstrating how they listen and how they are compassionate and ready to learn. What they stand to gain in welfare savings now those over state pension age are not involved is so diminished they might as well make a public relations exercise out of back pedalling.

      Hope to god they're at least not so stupid as not to see that....
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    · 3 days ago
    On this trend, by the time the next GE gets closer, we would hardly see any difference between Reform, Labour, and the Cons, as from now onward Labour and the Cons would jump over each other to show which one is further to the right, rather than going back to their sources and consolidating on the very principles upon which they were founded.

    Both Labour and the Cons would be attracted to parrot far-right politics to try to prevent losing voters to Reform, and this would legitimise and mainstream far-right arguments.

    Labour have already started this, as they've lately been bashing immigrants, and since getting beaten in last Thursday's elections, they've started targeting international students, claiming they apply for asylum, even though according to the Home Office, the number among international students claiming asylum is a drop in the ocean.
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      · 2 days ago
      @tintack
      You're right. You don't fight far-right by copying their rhetoric. This can only backfire on you.

      Mainstream parties copying the far-right happened in the past in France early 2000s, when the Republicans adopted far-right rhetoric. And guess what - the French far-right National Front has since been scoring stunning results in French presidential elections, with between 18% and 20% of the vote and consistently getting in the second place!

      The father of Marine Le Pen, Jean-Marie Le Pen, the founder of the French far-right National Front party, renamed National Rally party, used to say, "People prefer the original over the copies"!
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      · 2 days ago
      @Scorpion
      The Labour right never learn. You don't fight a hard right party by imitating them. That just legitimises their message as voters think "well if the main parties are saying similar things then Reform must have been right". Those voters then decide to vote for the real thing rather than the imitation. 

      They were warned this would happen but they wouldn't listen and even now they're doubling down on this insanity. "Further and faster" looks set to be the new "strong and stable".
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    · 3 days ago
    30+% of the UK population will not have a job by the end of Starmer's term, because of AI taking jobs.

    Instead of tabling solutions to the Fourth Industrial Revolution, he just cuts the income support of disabled people.

    A real dystopia is coming.
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      · 2 days ago
      @Anon This is true though I think the numbers are going to be much much higher. Driverless cars and lorries will replace driver jobs, warehouses will have more robots and automation and a lot more is going to be replaced and the government has not prepared for any of it. Instead of looking into a universal wage for everyone (Finland already has) we are stuck with old fashioned ideas about labour. Unfortunately our leaders are very out of touch with how much technology is going to change the landscape and the revolution that is literally round the corner we are going to be doomed. The solution will be to have a far more egalitarian society in which people are looked after but this will require a big jump in the thinking of our classically educated politicians. 
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    · 3 days ago
    If Rachel Reeves hadn't changed the fiscal rule none of this would be happening. It's all of Labour's own making. 
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      · 2 days ago
      @Anon You can't borrow money indefinitely the money markets won't stand for it.
    • Thank you for your comment. Comments are moderated before being published.
      · 2 days ago
      @Anon Changing the fiscal rule gave her what she hoped would be an excuse for these cuts. She wanted to make them anyway.