As the Conservatives plan to slash personal independence payment (PIP) to pay for tax cuts, arguing that far too many people are getting awards for minor illnesses, a think tank has undertaken research to find out the actual causes of the increase in claims for PIP and other disability and incapacity benefits.

250,000 PIP claims in three months

The latest PIP statistics reveal a record number of applications, with a quarter of a million new claims being lodged in the three months to April 2024.  This is an increase of almost half since April 2021. 

The amount spent on disability and incapacity benefits was fairly constant until 2013-14, but in the next ten years spending on working age  incapacity benefits rose by 34% and disability benefits by 89%.  In terms of cost, the bill has risen (in 2024-25 prices), from £28 billion to £43 billion.

PIP is not getting easier to claim

In spite of what tabloid press and government ministers may assert, it is not getting easier to qualify for PIP.  Success rates for new claims have fallen since PIP was introduced in 2013 and award rates for DLA to PIP forced transfers have not altered over time.

Moreover, the DWP considers that the rate of fraud in relation to PIP is so small that it is assessed at 0% in the 2024 “Fraud and error in the benefits system annual report”.

So what has caused the huge rise in claims?

The Resolution Foundation’s 38 page report “Under strain. Investigating trends in working-age disability and incapacity benefits” offers some important answers.

Poorer health

Since 2011, improvements in life expectancy have slowed and have now begun going backwards, suggesting that people are getting less healthy.

And the number of people who report that they have a “long-standing illness, disability or impairment which causes substantial difficulty with day-to-day activities” has risen from 5.9 million to 8.9 million in the last decade.

So, it is likely that as the UK population becomes less healthy – and has to wait longer and longer for treatment – more people are becoming eligible for disability and incapacity benefits

Longer awards

In part because of the DWP’s inability to carry our reviews on time, the length of time people remain on PIP is much longer than was intended when the benefit was introduced, meaning that the caseload has grown larger.

Falling value of other benefits

The value of basic out-of-work benefits has fallen over time. 

A single person claiming JSA was 7.6% worse off in in April 2024 compared to April 2010.  At a time of a serious cost of living crisis, this is a powerful incentive to apply for health related benefits. 

A single person getting UC will see their award more than double if they are also eligible for the health element.  An award of PIP would equally make a dramatic difference to their income.

So people who might not have been prepared to face the unpleasantness of a WCA or PIP assessment in the past may be more willing to do so now.

Rising state pension age

Overall, a growing, ageing population and a rise in the state pension age has led to 25% more people being eligible for incapacity and disability benefits.

But only just over half of the spending on working age disability benefits is due to a higher caseload - the rest is due to award rates being higher.

Removal of the lowest level of support in PIP

DLA has three levels of award for the care component.  When PIP was introduced, the lowest level was done away with in the expectation that this would cut costs.  In reality, it has had the opposite effect:  the average value of awards has gone up. 

In fact, 31% of claimants who had been getting the lowest level of DLA care were awarded the standard level of the PIP daily living component when forcibly transferred.  Remarkably,  30% got the enhanced component.

In other words, whilst the DWP expected most claimants to lose out because of the removal of the lowest rate,  over 60% of claimants are actually better off.

The same thing is happening when young people transfer from Child DLA to PIP, with 63% of claimants receiving a higher award of PIP than they did of DLA.  

Proposed Abolition of the WCA

One issue the Resolution Foundation did not deal with is the proposed abolition of the WCA.

The Conservatives have said they intend to abolish the WCA and make receipt of PIP the basis for being eligible for UC health.  Many claimants believe this may be driving people to apply for PIP now, because they are afraid they will lose their ESA or UC Health if they do not do so.

Increased awareness of PIP qualifying criteria

Another issue the Resolution Foundation did not cover is the effect of social media.

Readers have reported to us a growing number of social media sites which encourage people to claim PIP and explain who can get it and how to apply.  Often the information given is inaccurate or incomplete, but such sites do undoubtedly raise awareness.

In addition, the Disability News Service has highlighted the rise of  “clickbait” news stories about PIP, particularly on local newspaper sites.  Often these ‘follow a familiar pattern, with headlines telling readers “DWP to pay extra £362 a month for one of these 23 conditions”, “DWP says it’ll pay £691 to people with any of 87 common conditions” or “87 common muscle and joint conditions that qualify you for £737 from DWP”’.

Again, the information is often misleading, but it means more people are finding out about PIP.

What do you think?

The Resolution Foundation have carried out a well-researched and carefully supported examination of some of the factors behind the rise in claims for incapacity and disability benefits.

But they are unlikely to have uncovered all the reasons. 

Do you have an opinion on what has caused the rise?  Let us know in the comments section below.

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    Rosie · 1 days ago
    I have noticed the increase in articles with clickbait headlines regarding PIP. I assume that these are part of a right-wing drive to get the public riled up about how easy it is to make a successful claim for almost nothing; a recent one that particularly annoyed me was "You can get £PIP Maximum award for hayfever", which is so obviously a lie!!  If you just read the headline, it would enrage the reader (as it was designed to do) but the article was actually about a genuine claimant who just so happened to be suffering from hay fever at the time of her review, and was surprised that the DWP's so-called Medical Professional  asked her about it at all.  

    What appears to have started out as an attempt to stir up public outcry about the cost of disability benefit (and how the system is being abused by people who aren't really disabled at all), seems to have had the unintended effect of bringing the actual existence of PIP to the public attention. The campaign has effectively "shot itself in the foot" by raising the profile of PIP.

    Or was that the intention all along? Encourage people to claim PIP so that you can say "it's costing too much, so must be reformed".  Either way, legitimate PIP claimants are being demonised. Do we really want a society where there is no safety net from government for the elderly, sick or disabled? 
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    ward · 2 days ago
    Nobody is talking about the clickbait Media pushing the mantra 'You can get claim up to £1000 with one these conditions' in locally and national press which I think is also pushing claims up as well as waiting times in NHS or long waits for GP appointments leading to peoples health failing further.  Some maybe they didn't realise they could claim are now doing so but suspect those numbers are tiny. Its also good that many claimants are also challenging wrong  decisions and winning at tribunals.
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      Laura · 1 days ago
      @ward I think the click bait was designed to make the public think people on disability benefits get 1000's and so garner support for cutting PIP - even though the main disability benefit is completely inadequate to live on alone. Not only that - the health element for UC is being removed with the WCA, so to qualify you will need to successfully claim PIP. That's another factor that will be driving up claims - the idea that otherwise you will be at the mercy of job coaches who have no medical training and regularly use sanctions because of their own illegal failure to apply reasonably adjustments. 
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      Me · 2 days ago
      @ward If you are eligible for ESA support group you are likely to be eligible for pip. People are struggling to survive on long term benefits so when the tabloid's inc.  local paper's are pushing pip people are turning to it for a lifeline. I am in the same boat but when I saw the push,I smelt a rat and chose to struggle rather than fall into what appears to be an impending trap/ordeal. 
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    Scrounger · 2 days ago
    Because Tory austerity made poor people ill. 
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    Gladioli · 2 days ago
    I think that it is a combination of factors but with the people that I help to support the main factor is financial. They are struggling with the cost of living and see PIP as a way of paying for essentials. I supported one client to claim PIP and he told that the award meant that he could eat a decent meal. I am helping someone at the moment who struggles with his mobility but has to use the bus as he can't afford to pay for a taxi. I have another client who used a backdated PIP payment to replace a broken washing machine. 
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    Old Mother · 2 days ago
    Older retirement age - people becoming incapacitated trying to work/ not healthy enough to work. 

    NHS failings / people becoming disabled waiting for treatment / treatments no longer covered.  PIP needed for so many medical costs now. 

    Definitely people panicking re tory proposed reforms linking PIP to benefits. 

    It’s unreal how these people have reminded in government for so long. They have damaged the nation’s health and ability to work.  
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    bluejay52 · 2 days ago
    I completely agree with sally-jane.
    Like her my PIP has helped with all utiliy bills.
    It also has helped me keep my own car on the road.
    I honestly think, that all the leaders have not lived in the real world and they dont know what it is to struggle, vouchers as far as im concerned are a non starter.

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    pusscatsmum · 2 days ago
    re PIP. Many  were  on  DLA lifetime awards, which changed to PIP, and then had to jump  through even more  hoops to gain  finances and a bit  of dignity. Many  use the PIP for a chance to lead  some sort  of a  life, be  it food, aids, taxis, care costs, treatments etc. The cash helped more recently with utility costs etc. For this to be compromised by it being turned into vouchers'  and similar is totally bonkers. Firstly that will line the  pockets of Chinese companies such as temu and shien . If they decide vouchers for food, that will be for the mainstream supermarket chains. And so  the  list goes on re that side  of things. Secondly the  loss  of cash no doubt they will  say 'well you don't need it , the vouchers  will suffice'. Not  user friendly. Some  reside abroad, and those are allowed PIP, vouchers are not applicable in  that  point.  More  people are  applying for PIP, as they are  older,  between 58 to  66  as their  health has  deteriorated and they cannot any longer repair the roads, be a bricklayer etc etc, and also  our health  of the nation has deteriorated  and more  people are  unwell  physically and  mentally. The  list goes  on. So  the govt suggestion  of reducing PIP, cash to vouchers , will hit many  people  hard. Not everyone is entitled to  means tested  benefits either, and will  totally fall  thru the  gap. Some  on  PIP, also  have IIB, and  that  is removed  if one  loses  their PIP. These changes will mean more  people  will be hit badly and have no  redress  to  deal with it. Big companies getting  bigger at the relentless  cost to  the  sick and  disabled. These are but a few  that  will  be  ignored and lost.
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